Charting The Secular Decline (To Come) In Advanced Economy House Prices Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/14/2012 11:39 -0500
It would appear that Americans are in general an optimistic bunch. The slightest green shoot of economic growth, or market trend-reversal, or Tigers' home run in the World Series and it is instantly extrapolated into "what could be". The US housing market (among others around the world) is just such a glimmer of hope (and homebuilder stock prices surely provide all the proof you need... just like JCP's 12% jump on 9/19? followed by its 46% decline since...). The trouble is, no matter how much you want something to happen; sometimes, there really is no way it's ever gonna happen. To wit, the young/old dependency ratios in the following six major economies of the world suggest whatever 'Eastman Kodak' bounce some housing markets are experiencing will inevitably be short-lived (no matter how much foreign cash is driven back into these advanced economies). Economies are becoming a little 'over-burdened'...
It would appear that Americans are in general an optimistic bunch. The slightest green shoot of economic growth, or market trend-reversal, or Tigers' home run in the World Series and it is instantly extrapolated into "what could be". The US housing market (among others around the world) is just such a glimmer of hope (and homebuilder stock prices surely provide all the proof you need... just like JCP's 12% jump on 9/19? followed by its 46% decline since...). The trouble is, no matter how much you want something to happen; sometimes, there really is no way it's ever gonna happen. To wit, the young/old dependency ratios in the following six major economies of the world suggest whatever 'Eastman Kodak' bounce some housing markets are experiencing will inevitably be short-lived (no matter how much foreign cash is driven back into these advanced economies). Economies are becoming a little 'over-burdened'...
which suggests the driver for house price appreciation just won't be there...
Las gráficas muestran la evolución futura del mercado inmobiliario en el mundo más o menos desarrollado, producto de la burbuja y el envejecimiento de la población.
- Autor: Currobena
- Enlace: http://www.transicionestructural.net/transicion-estructural/ppcc-pisitofilos-creditofagos-otono-2012/msg56363/#msg56363
- Hilo Original: PPCC - Pisitófilos Creditófagos - Otoño 2012
Nota: Comentarios deshabilitados.
Si quieres compartir tu opinión con nosotros (y estamos deseando leerla) por favor pincha el enlace y dirígete al foro de transicionestructural.net
Si te ha gustado la entrada considera compartirla en tus redes sociales favoritas o enviarla a tus contactos. Gracias!
